Something we heard time and time again from our sources is that while Russians initially viewed the war as unnecessary, a Russian defeat would be unacceptable to them. Furthermore, the regime has leveraged the deep-seated sense of imperialism ingrained in the Russian national psyche and the pervasive belief that "we are being attacked by the West". ![]() A contradiction exists between the Kremlin’s desire to balance a sense of normalcy with its narrative of "existential threat" to the Russian state to justify his bellicose stance. Strategies to carry this out include sparing the middle classes from military service, increasing social expenditure, offering substantial benefits to enlisted soldiers and their families, and, at least at the start, keeping borders open to those who fled. The urban middle class is bearing the brunt of the sanctions, grappling with a new reality of limited travel and reduced access to foreign consumer goods.Ĭontrary to the widespread perception of an unflinching dictatorial regime indifferent to the general population, the Russian leadership has demonstrated a cautious approach, balancing increased repression while avoiding full-down disruption to everyday life. Even in major cities, most Russians are primarily preoccupied with day-to-day survival, not the state of the Russian regime. For now, the Russian population is mostly passive. It is very difficult to evaluate the societal impact of this "Z Generation" (to borrow a term from Ian Garner), which has been molded by this indoctrination campaign. Ultra-nationalist influences in the media and social networks could be interpreted as a reflection, or even as a result, of the years-long campaign of indoctrination orchestrated by the regime.
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